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Foreign Exchange Market

The foreign exchange (currency or forex or FX) market exists wherever one currency is traded for another. It is by far the largest market in the world, in terms of cash value traded, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, multinational corporations, governments, and other financial markets and institutions. The trade happening in the forex markets across the globe currently exceeds US$1.9 trillion/day (on average). Retail traders (individuals) are currently a very small part of this market and may only participate indirectly through brokers or banks..
The foreign exchange market is unique because of: * its trading volume, * the extreme liquidity of the market, * the large number of, and variety of, traders in the market, * its geographical dispersion, * its long trading hours - 24 hours a day (except on weekends). * the variety of factors that affect exchange rates, According to the BIS study Triennial Central Bank Survey 2004, average daily turnover in traditional foreign exchange markets was estimated at $1,880 billion. Daily averages in April for different years, in billions of US dollars, are presented on the chart below: Global foreign exchange market turnover: * $621 billion spot * $1.26 trillion in derivatives, ie * $208 billion in outright forwards * $944 billion in forex swaps * $107 billion in FX options.
Futures contracts were introduced in 1972 at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and are actively traded relative to most other futures contracts. Forex futures volume has grown rapidly in recent years, but only accounts for about 7% of the total foreign exchange market volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe (5/5/06, p. 20). Average daily global turnover in traditional foreign exchange market transactions totalled $2.7 trillion in April 2006 according to IFSL estimates based on semi-annual London, New York, Tokyo and Singapore Foreign Exchange Committee data. Overall turnover, including non-traditional foreign exchange derivatives and products traded on exchanges, averaged around $2.9 trillion a day. This was more than ten times the size of the combined daily turnover on all the world’s equity markets. Foreign exchange trading increased by 38% between April 2005 and April 2006 and has more than doubled since 2001. This is largely due to the growing importance of foreign exchange as an asset class and an increase in fund management assets, particularly of hedge funds and pension funds. The diverse selection of execution venues such as internet trading platforms has also made it easier for retail traders to trade in the foreign exchange market.[1] Because foreign exchange is an OTC market where brokers/dealers negotiate directly with one another, there is no central exchange or clearing house. The biggest geographic trading centre is the UK, primarily London, which according to IFSL estimates has increased its share of global turnover in traditional transactions from 31.3% in April 2004 to 32.4% in April 2006. Other large centres include the US (with a 18.2% global share), Japan (7.6%) and Singapore (5.7%) (Chart 2). Most of the remainder was accounted for by trading in Germany, Switzerland, Australia, Canada, France and Hong Kong. The ten most active traders account for almost 73% of trading volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe, (2/9/06 p. 20). These large international banks continually provide the market with both bid (buy) and ask (sell) prices. The bid/ask spread is the difference between the price at which a bank or market maker will sell ("ask", or "offer") and the price at which a market-maker will buy ("bid") from a wholesale customer. This spread is minimal for actively traded pairs of currencies, usually only 0-3 pips. For example, the bid/ask quote of EUR/USD might be 1.2200/1.2203. Minimum trading size for most deals is usually $100,000. These spreads might not apply to retail customers at banks, which will routinely mark up the difference to say 1.2100 / 1.2300 for transfers, or say 1.2000 / 1.2400 for banknotes or travelers' checks. Spot prices at market makers vary, but on EUR/USD are usually no more than 5 pips wide (i.e. 0.0005). Competition has greatly increased with pip spreads shrinking on the major pairs to as little as 1 to 1.5 pips.
Retail Forex Brokers

Retail forex brokers or market makers handle a minute fraction of the total volume of the foreign exchange market. According to CNN, one retail broker estimates retail volume at $25-50 billion daily, which is about 2% of the whole market.
Forex Scam
Is any trading scheme used to defraud individual traders by convincing them that they can expect to profit by trading in the foreign exchange market. These scams might include churning of customer accounts for the purpose of generating commissions, selling software that is supposed to guide the customer to large profits,[1] improperly managed "managed accounts",[2] false advertising,[3] Ponzi schemes and outright fraud.[4] It also refers to any retail forex broker who indicates that trading foreign exchange is a low risk, high profit investment.[5] The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which loosely regulates the foreign exchange market in the United States, has noted an increase in the amount of unscrupulous activity in the non-bank foreign exchange industry.[6] An official of the National Futures Association was quoted[7] as saying, "Retail forex trading has increased dramatically over the past few years. Unfortunately, the amount of forex fraud has also increased dramatically..." Between 2001 and 2006 the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has prosecuted more than 80 cases involving the defrauding of more than 23,000 customers who lost $300 million, mostly in managed accounts. CNN also quoted Godfried De Vidts, President of the Financial Markets Association, a European body, as saying, "Banks have a duty to protect their customers and they should make sure customers understand what they are doing. Now if people go online, on non-bank portals, how is this control being done?" The highly technical nature of retail forex industry, the OTC nature of the market, and the loose regulation of the market, leaves retail speculators vulnerable. Defrauded traders and regulatory authorities, can find it very difficult to prove that market manipulation has occurred since there is no central currency market, but rather a number of more or less interconnected marketplaces provided by interbank market makers.
Warning

CFTC warnings
The CFTC lists 9 warning signs for foreign exchange trading fraud:[5] 1. Stay away from opportunities that seem too good to be true Always remember that there is no such thing as a "free lunch." Be especially cautious if you have acquired a large sum of cash recently and are looking for a safe investment vehicle. In particular, retirees with access to their retirement funds may be attractive targets for fraudulent operators. Getting your money back once it is gone can be difficult or impossible.

2. Avoid any company that predicts or guarantees large profits Be extremely wary of companies that guarantee profits, or that tout extremely high performance. In many cases, those claims are false. The following are examples of statements that either are or most likely are fraudulent: "Whether the market moves up or down, in the currency market you will make a profit." "Make $1000 per week, every week" "We are out-performing 90% of domestic investments." "The main advantage of the forex markets is that there is no bear market." "We guarantee you will make at least a 30-40% rate of return within two months."

3. Stay Away From Companies That Promise Little or No Financial Risk Be suspicious of companies that downplay risks or state that written risk disclosure statements are routine formalities imposed by the government. The currency futures and options markets are volatile and contain substantial risks for unsophisticated customers. The currency futures and options markets are not the place to put any funds that you cannot afford to lose. For example, retirement funds should not be used for currency trading. You can lose most or all of those funds very quickly trading foreign currency futures or options contracts. Therefore, beware of companies that make the following types of statements: "With a $10,000 deposit, the maximum you can lose is $200 to $250 per day." "We promise to recover any losses you have." "Your investment is secure."

4. Don't Trade on Margin Unless You Understand What It Means Margin trading can make you responsible for losses that greatly exceed the dollar amount you deposited. Many currency traders ask customers to give them money, which they sometimes refer to as "margin," often sums in the range of $1,000 to $5,000. However, those amounts, which are relatively small in the currency markets, actually control far larger dollar amounts of trading, a fact that often is poorly explained to customers. Don't trade on margin unless you fully understand what you are doing and are prepared to accept losses that exceed the margin amounts you paid.

5. Question Firms That Claim To Trade in the "Interbank Market" Be wary of firms that claim that you can or should trade in the "interbank market," or that they will do so on your behalf. Unregulated, fraudulent currency trading firms often tell retail customers that their funds are traded in the "interbank market," where good prices can be obtained. Firms that trade currencies in the interbank market, however, are most likely to be banks, investment banks and large corporations, since the term "interbank market" refers simply to a loose network of currency transactions negotiated between financial institutions and other large companies.

6. Be Wary of Sending or Transferring Cash on the Internet, By Mail or Otherwise Be especially alert to the dangers of trading on-line; it is very easy to transfer funds on-line, but often can be impossible to get a refund. It costs an Internet advertiser just pennies per day to reach a potential audience of millions of persons, and phony currency trading firms have seized upon the Internet as an inexpensive and effective way of reaching a large pool of potential customers. Many companies offering currency trading on-line are not located within the United States and may not display an address or any other information identifying their nationality on their Web site. Be aware that if you transfer funds to those foreign firms, it may be very difficult or impossible to recover your funds.

7. Currency Scams Often Target Members of Ethnic Minorities Some currency trading scams target potential customers in ethnic communities, particularly persons in the Russian, Chinese and Indian immigrant communities, through advertisements in ethnic newspapers and television "infomercials." Sometimes those advertisements offer so-called "job opportunities" for "account executives" to trade foreign currencies. Be aware that "account executives" that are hired might be expected to use their own money for currency trading, as well as to recruit their family and friends to do likewise. What appears to be a promising job opportunity often is another way many of these companies lure customers into parting with their cash.

8. Be Sure You Get the Company's Performance Track Record Get as much information as possible about the firm's or individual's performance record on behalf of other clients. You should be aware, however, that It may be difficult or impossible to do so, or to verify the information you receive. While firms and individuals are not required to provide this information, you should be wary of any person who is not willing to do so or who provides you with incomplete information. However, keep in mind, even if you do receive a glossy brochure or sophisticated- looking charts, that the information they contain might be false.

9. Don't Deal With Anyone Who Won't Give You Their Background Plan to do a lot of checking of any information you receive to be sure that the company is and does exactly what it says.

Get the background of the persons running or promoting the company, if possible. Do not rely solely on oral statements or promises from the firm's employees. Ask for all information in written form.

If you cannot satisfy yourself that the persons with whom you are dealing are completely legitimate and above-board, the wisest course of action is to avoid trading foreign currencies through those companies.

Retail Trading

Retail trading, is more structured than the Forex market as a whole. While Forex has been traded since the beginning of financial markets, modern retail trading has only been around since about 1996. Prior to this time, retail investors were limited in their options for entering the Forex market. They could create multiple bank accounts, each one denominated in a different currency, and transfer funds from one account to another in order to profit from fluctuating exchange rate. This was troublesome, however, because the transaction costs incurred were large due to the small quantity of funds being converted relative to the size of the market. This transaction type was at the very bottom of the Forex pyramid. Another option was dabbling in the Futures market. This was treacherous for an individual investor because there isn’t suitable structure for individual participation. There is no market maker in the Futures market, which means there is no buyer of last resort. This is important because it adds a level of risk to the market that many investors are not willing to take on. In the stock market, there are people called “Specialists” on the floor of the NYSE who are required to buy (or sell) if no one else is willing. They can determine what they will accept, but they must always offer a price. This guarantees that you are always able to exit your current position, even in times of low liquidity. In the Futures market, though, there is no equivalent of the Specialist. Thus, traders can, and in practice, do, find themselves unable to unload a position and exit the market when liquidity dries up. Consequently, a trader may be stuck in a position he does not want, which can lead to frustration and severe economic loss.By 1996, new market makers took advantage of developments in web-based technology that made retail Forex trading practical. These internet-based market makers would take the other side of retail trader’s trades. The new companies felt that there was enough liquidity in the Forex market, and eventually within their own customer base, to guarantee markets under all but the most unusual market conditions. These companies also created online trading platforms that provided a quick and easy way for individuals to buy and sell on the Forex Spot market. In addition, the companies realized that by pooling many retail traders together, they had the size to enter the upper echelons of the Forex market, which reduced the size of the spread. As the business grew, the market makers were given better prices, which they then passed on to the customer. The final barrier these new market makers were able to ameliorate involves the lack of large-scale changes in the currency. Unlike the more “sexy” world of equities, currencies tended to have an almost boring reputation. Market makers got around this issue by allowing customers to inflate all movements many times over. In the world of online currency exchange, no transaction actually leads to physical delivery to the client; all positions will eventually be closed. The market makers are therefore able to offer high amounts of leverage. While up to 4:1 leverage is available in equities and 20:1 in Futures, it is common to have 100:1 leverage in currencies; some Forex market makers offer up to 400:1. In the typical 100:1 scenario, the client absorbs all risks associated with controlling a position 100 times the capital they are putting up, and, given that the money is only being used for currency exchange and on the market makers’ books, the transaction can proceed. Current spreads for the most common currency pair, EUR/USD, is typically 3 pips (3/100th of a percent). An equivalent trade using a bank account would most likely be between 200 and 500 pips, while an equivalent trade using cash at an exchange institution would be around 750 – 2500 pips. Currencies are quoted in pairs i.e. EUR/USD (Euro vs. United States Dollar). Out of convention, the currency quoted first was the stronger currency at the time of inception.

Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss, and may not be suitable for everyone.